Bullet Construction vs Lethality

The difference in wind defection between the two bullets at 1000 yds seems significant (7.18") given that the size if the vitals area in large game is usually 10" wide. Am I interpreting things correctly?
Yes, but my posts were not about comparing bullets themselves. It was about wind drift and what goes into calculating for it. Examples were used with varying MV and BC to illustrate the point. What you extrapolate from that is up to you.

I agree though, a bullet with less lag time, due to things like higher BC, will give you more potential for a good hit into vitals for a 1000 yards shot like you mentioned. I say potential because a lot more can affect the actual point of impact, but at least you'd have less working against you from the start.
 
Calculating wind drift in any ballistic app is only a theoretical number. The calculation assumes the wind is uniform in speed and direction from the shooter to the target. Since all wind follows the contour of the land, the only time when wind is uniform in direction is when the land contour is flat with no trees. I have seen wind, in undulating terrain, travel in opposite directions in between the shooter and target. Best observed in ELR matches with high quality spotting scopes. 1000 yard shots are best reserved for calm conditions. Things like mirage, long tall grass and tree branches can all give one the direction of the wind at the target but only if you have optics that can clearly image those objects. Uneven hilly terrain can cause vortices in wind direction which leads to varying direction of wind flow between target and shooter. Hunting is a skill that demands not only accuracy at distance, but the ability to get close enough to your target to have a reasonable probability to place the first cold bore shot accurately. On a windy day in the mountains or hills that means stalking your target stealthily enough to get in range such that the wind is as minimal a factor in influencing the accuracy of the shot. A hunter's skill at closing the distance between him and the target on a gusty windy day does much more for accurate bullet placement than any ballistic app. I can back up this statement with a real life hunting experience of my own while hunting Pronghorn Antelopes.
Yes, that was my point- wind is not a constant. So what is calculated is based on one value, and if you adjust for that calculation alone, you may be off on your POI. It doesn't mean the calculation was wrong. It means things changed and the calculation was no longer accurate for the required adjustment.

Bullets with a higher BC and lower time of flight and lower lag time will drift less though, in any condition. So that results in less to compound errors.
 
I don't recall that video. I would be interested in seeing it.

Was it just one shot each? What are all the missing details? All I know is it was the 199gr Hammer (assuming Hunter) and that it was 200fps faster than the Berger (assuming that's the 215gr bullet being referred to).

For discussion sake, I would like to know if they were fired from the same rifle, or were there twin rifles and were they fired at the exact same time side by side at the same target and point of aim? What was the actual MV for each bullet? Was the velocity of each recorded as they were shot? What is the muzzle velocity extreme spread on the ammo loaded? I would also like to know what the exact wind conditions were. Was the wind variable? What was the distance to the target? What was the target? How was the impact recorded and how do we know that the point of aim was actually where the reticle was when the bullet exited the muzzle? How do we know the person on the trigger didn't negatively influence the rifle and this point of impact? The list goes on and on. Surely the point is made, but these are valid and important pieces to the equation.

It should be obvious by all those questions that there are so many variables affecting the results in a "backyard test". Wind is not constant. Shooter input is not perfect. To get reliable test results, we need to reduce as many variables and negative influencers as possible. We need as much accurate data input as possible too. Garbage in, garbage out, right?

Math and physics do not lie. Just because you see a different result out in the field, it does not mean the math and physics are wrong. It does not mean BC isn't able to calculate hold for wind drift. It means wind isn't constant and your input, and thus output, for hold is only accurate for that particular value of wind. If that value changes, the result will change.

Gravity is constant. Calculating drop is way more accurate as a result. Shooter error and errors to inputs can still mess with that result too though.

View attachment 492128

👆🏻Hammer at 3100fps, 10mph full value wind.


View attachment 492130

👆🏻Berger at 2900fps, 10mph full value wind.

As you can see, there's barely a difference to 300 yards in the calculated wind drift. And at 500 yards it's a 1.2" difference between the two. That can easily be swayed, and drastically, just by shooter error, or a change in wind, etc.

It's a 6.9" difference between the two at 1000 yards. If your extreme spread on your ammo is 30fps, that equates to a 1" difference alone in drift at 1000 yards. When you factor in other negative influences, it can compound into a huge difference, even at closer range.

So are we really going to say BC is the problem? Are we really to believe BC just doesn't account for drift? I don't buy it. There are simply too many other highly plausible explanations for the unexpected point of impact.

If you ran that test multiple times, under the same conditions, I'd bet you get many different results. Statistically, it only makes sense. Increase your sample size and let's see what happens. I'll bet there are times you see what is expected based on your ballistic calculator, other times you'd see more drift than calculated, and still other times you'd see less drift than calculated- and by either bullet.

This is not me just trying to argue. This is me disagreeing and offering my explanation as to why I disagree. It also makes no difference who said it. I'm referring only to what was said.

I welcome further debate on this subject because I find it pretty fascinating. I'm willing to be wrong and learn something new. I'm just not convinced yet. Chapter 5 of "Applied Ballistics for Long-Range Shooting" made a lot of sense to me 🤷🏼‍♂️.
Here is the test data and the video. You don't have to take my word for it, you could do it yourself.
I don't recall that video. I would be interested in seeing it.

Was it just one shot each? What are all the missing details? All I know is it was the 199gr Hammer (assuming Hunter) and that it was 200fps faster than the Berger (assuming that's the 215gr bullet being referred to).

For discussion sake, I would like to know if they were fired from the same rifle, or were there twin rifles and were they fired at the exact same time side by side at the same target and point of aim? What was the actual MV for each bullet? Was the velocity of each recorded as they were shot? What is the muzzle velocity extreme spread on the ammo loaded? I would also like to know what the exact wind conditions were. Was the wind variable? What was the distance to the target? What was the target? How was the impact recorded and how do we know that the point of aim was actually where the reticle was when the bullet exited the muzzle? How do we know the person on the trigger didn't negatively influence the rifle and this point of impact? The list goes on and on. Surely the point is made, but these are valid and important pieces to the equation.

It should be obvious by all those questions that there are so many variables affecting the results in a "backyard test". Wind is not constant. Shooter input is not perfect. To get reliable test results, we need to reduce as many variables and negative influencers as possible. We need as much accurate data input as possible too. Garbage in, garbage out, right?

Math and physics do not lie. Just because you see a different result out in the field, it does not mean the math and physics are wrong. It does not mean BC isn't able to calculate hold for wind drift. It means wind isn't constant and your input, and thus output, for hold is only accurate for that particular value of wind. If that value changes, the result will change.

Gravity is constant. Calculating drop is way more accurate as a result. Shooter error and errors to inputs can still mess with that result too though.

View attachment 492128

👆🏻Hammer at 3100fps, 10mph full value wind.


View attachment 492130

👆🏻Berger at 2900fps, 10mph full value wind.

As you can see, there's barely a difference to 300 yards in the calculated wind drift. And at 500 yards it's a 1.2" difference between the two. That can easily be swayed, and drastically, just by shooter error, or a change in wind, etc.

It's a 6.9" difference between the two at 1000 yards. If your extreme spread on your ammo is 30fps, that equates to a 1" difference alone in drift at 1000 yards. When you factor in other negative influences, it can compound into a huge difference, even at closer range.

So are we really going to say BC is the problem? Are we really to believe BC just doesn't account for drift? I don't buy it. There are simply too many other highly plausible explanations for the unexpected point of impact.

If you ran that test multiple times, under the same conditions, I'd bet you get many different results. Statistically, it only makes sense. Increase your sample size and let's see what happens. I'll bet there are times you see what is expected based on your ballistic calculator, other times you'd see more drift than calculated, and still other times you'd see less drift than calculated- and by either bullet.

This is not me just trying to argue. This is me disagreeing and offering my explanation as to why I disagree. It also makes no difference who said it. I'm referring only to what was said.

I welcome further debate on this subject because I find it pretty fascinating. I'm willing to be wrong and learn something new. I'm just not convinced yet. Chapter 5 of "Applied Ballistics for Long-Range Shooting" made a lot of sense to me 🤷🏼‍♂️.
Here is the link to the thread with the data and video. You don't have to take my word for it, you could do the test yourself.
 
This is me waiting on the 5 page report on why his testing will be unnecessary as Litz has already did a similar test and the quote it and then explain that the mathematical equations in his prior post are proof enough .


waiting-patiently-waiting.gif
 
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Here is the test data and the video. You don't have to take my word for it, you could do it yourself.

Here is the link to the thread with the data and video. You don't have to take my word for it, you could do the test yourself.
How far is that shot? There is absolutely no way you'd need to hold 30" of wind at 1000 yards with what that dust is doing. It is literally just floating in the air after the impacts. And wind is slightly shifting the dust direction throughout each shot also. I have videos of what dust will do when you need to hold just 15" of wind, let alone 30". That dust should be blowing sideways immediately after impact.
 
How far is that shot? There is absolutely no way you'd need to hold 30" of wind at 1000 yards with what that dust is doing. It is literally just floating in the air after the impacts. And wind is slightly shifting the dust direction throughout each shot also. I have videos of what dust will do when you need to hold just 15" of wind, let alone 30". That dust should be blowing sideways immediately after impact.
870y across a canyon. Rarely is there much wind at the shooting position or on the other side. There is always wind in the middle.
 
Makes sense if that's the case then. Right to left wind?
If I remember correctly it was a left to right wind. That is the prevailing wind there. Rarely does the wind come from the East. Sometimes it does even if the wind at the shooting location is coming from the west. It is a tricky spot to shoot with up and down drafts as well.
 
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