The LR Magnum verses LR Primers concept changed the way I reload in all my short magnums, it just so much more efficient, seems someone would have figured that out long ago, someone probably did just forgot the tell anyone. As you said its a marked difference in velocity in some but not all. I read about it somewhere 4 or 5 years ago, and tried it in 257Bee, 7 SAUM and 270 WSM, this change improved velocity and SD in all 3!For me the two things I watch most closely would be how the bolt lift and extraction feel from mild to where pressure starts building and the case face with ejector marks. Primers are difficult to read. Some guns smash them flat regardless of the charge. Same with cratering. When getting to where we think we are pushing but maybe not sure we will decap and reprime to see if the primer pocket is remaining tight and if it will continue to stay tight for several shots. Some rifles will show an ejector mark no matter the charge. If this is the case then watch that ejector mark and when it starts to change from the mild charge then you know you are starting to stress the brass. All of the normal indicators together tell the story. This is why I like to start low and work up so that you can see and feel changes in the force to cycle the action and signs on the brass. We do use a chrono all the time. Velocity is most certainly an indicator of pressure, but not the only indicator. It is part of the total story gathered from all of the indicators. We have seen over pressure on everything but the vel. This is what I call false pressure. When we have hard bolt lift and punished brass with low vel. The 6.5 PRC is a great example of this. The cartridge does not like magnum primers. I think because the cartridge is very efficient the mag primer causes the ignition to happen too rapidly putting all the pressure in the chamber and not stretching it down the barrel. Changing from magnum primers to lr primers slows the ignition resulting in a smoother or slower burn spreading the pressure out and no longer punishing the brass. By switching to lr primers in the PRC we were able to see 4g more charge and 200 fps increase with the same indication of pressure. When we first started loading the PRC we thought Nosler was just way out of line on their velocity. We just couldn't come close to it. Most cartridges we only see about 30fps change with magnum to lr primers. So, when it comes to velocity if your other pressure indicators are high but not the vel there is probably something wrong with your recipe or maybe a barrel issue. If your pressure indicators are high as well as your vel, then you are certainly pushing. Like many of you it wasn't too long ago that I loaded without ever using a chrono. We did not have the capability. It is now very much a crutch for me. I can't imagine loading without it.
When loading an Absolute for the first time in a given cartridge I still use the chrono but have to rely more heavily on the other pressure indicators. The chrono now lets me see consistency of gain as the charge goes up and if we are seeing a jump in pressure with large increases in vel telling us so. Once a load is completed in a rifle with an Absolute then we can use that vel data to tell us in the next rifle when we are getting into the area of pressure. It now becomes more relevant in the total data indicating pressure.
I hope this makes sense.