Really? Wow, I didnt know the chrono was that important. Thousands load every year without one. I did for years.
It's a fantastic tool for load development, but hardly a safety devise . Reading pressure signs is a much better way to keep your face , imho.
Everybody has his own favorite way of staying out of trouble when developing loads, and I think the guy who wrote that probably prefers the chronograph. The premise is that if you're getting the velocity that is specified in the manual, it's because you're getting the same chamber pressure they got when they tested the load. If you are getting 200 fps more, then your pressure is higher
….. and may be over maximum, if you're dealing with loads on the high end of their tested range of powder charges. It might take a heavier charge to get that pressure in your rifle than it did in their pressure barrel, but if the velocity is the same, then so is the pressure. ( Their pressure barrels often have tighter chambers, and/or bores. I've read that they often test with pressure barrels cut to minimum SAAMI specs.)
Most of what I've read on this forum is about reading primers and case head markings to look for over-pressure indications. Hard bolt lift and extraction is another one that get mentioned a lot. I haven't read much here about case head expansion, which is my favorite way of checking relative pressure. I do this in conjunction with chronograph data, and I've found that if the load generates the same velocity as a factory load, it almost always expands the case head about the same as a factory load does in the same chamber. ( That amount is about .0003", measured just ahead of the extractor groove. This is a tricky place to measure, and it requires a blade micrometer to do it correctly.) Anyhow, I use .0005" as
absolute maximum expansion, and .0003" for an
"in the field" maximum for hunting purposes.
There's a lot of information out there about this method, and the best I've seen is in NICK HARVEY'S PRACTICAL RELOADING MANUAL. He has a whole chapter on the subject. Hodgdon also published a while back that .0005-.0006" is maximum expansion for cartridges with the 30-06 case head, and they list other numbers for smaller case heads and belted magnums. An old Hornady manual has a discussion about this, and there was also an article years ago in Handloader magazine that showed expansion vs. actual pressure testing in a powder company's lab. They showed .0005" of expansion coinciding with 60,000 PSI repeatedly.
Another thing I've found with this method is that I reach maximum long before getting into any of the traditional pressure signs I read about. I've read recently that if you've ever blown a primer, that load that generates around 70,000-75,000 PSI. Don't know if this is true, but it's pretty scary if it is. All of the methods are a little bit "by guess, by golly" and none are perfect. It's all a matter of whatever fits into your personal comfort level. The case head measurement method has kept me comfortable for a couple of decades. If somebody has a better way, I'm sure open to suggestions.