Great write up. The only area I would debate with you is in number 3 above. Here's why. If a bullet of normal cup and core design is touching the lands at the time of ignition, it has no momentum prior to any velocity achieved. Therefore, to overcome the static friction it has against the lands to engrave the bullet from a standing start is substantial. At this point, the bore is still not sealed as the bullet is sitting in the throat held out of the bore area by the lands like cleats. Since the effort to engrave in this scenario is very high, the only thing that will allow that effort to be achieved is a high differential pressure at the back of the bullet. Remember, the bore is still not sealed. So, this higher differential pressure has to be attained while jetting is taking place. In other words, the jet is stronger prior to sealing, and it's concentrated right at the critical throat to lands juncture. Now, because it is close to sealing, it will stop fairly quickly, but the jet is very high during the event.
Counter that with an appropriate solid copper design that, with the right geometry, reduces friction yet is more snug in the throat area while also starts back further having substantially more momentum into the lands with less starting resistance and extrusion gap around the perimeter. Sure, the distance is further, but I'm not sure the time to get there is any different due to the ease of acceleration, and the differential pressure at the point of sealing is significantly less, meaning the jet is also significantly less. This jet is also displaced over a larger area of the throat, less concentrated at the initiation of the lands.
Okay, back to analyzing cup and core only. I agree with your logic on number 3 in general for a bullet of that design, but I do think there is a hill crest for optimum distance off the lands to reduce the effect as opposed to an ever increasing slope of improvement to touching the lands, if that makes sense. Of course, every individual chamber will be different, because of how it is reamed. A very loose chamber at SAAMI maximums will suffer immensely no matter what. This is also another reason I slightly dread when we get to the .358" and .375" calibers as SAAMI specs and barrel manufacturers play differently in this regard. This is in relation to custom barrel manufacturers mainly. Trying to get any detailed information from the factory folks is somewhat futile, and I'm sure the tolerances are at least double the custom guys anyway, probably more.