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- Thread starter cohunt
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Just a couple of remarks about this; obviously this is a whole field of study.
If you test folks without symptoms highly suggestive of infection, most positives will be false positives, leading to unneeded therapy and quarantine. That's just the nature of the test, as no test is perfect. That's why the proposed drive-through testing centers where everybody and their dog gets tested may be counter productive. Doctors will find it VERY difficult to deny tests if a patient wants one even though not indicated.
Testing everyone in a certain group where the infection is known to exist is valuable so that researchers know the penetrance of the virus, i.e., what % exposed will be infected, what % will develop serious disease, etc.
Since the symptoms in healthy folks are so similar to the common cold, the true number of folks infected may be much higher, which means the mortality rate may be much lower than it appears, e.g., 1000 are infected but only 100 get really sick and get tested and 1 dies, so death rate looks like 1% but in reality is 0.1%.
Meant this to be helpful not pedagogical, so forgive me if it comes across as such.
If you test folks without symptoms highly suggestive of infection, most positives will be false positives, leading to unneeded therapy and quarantine. That's just the nature of the test, as no test is perfect. That's why the proposed drive-through testing centers where everybody and their dog gets tested may be counter productive. Doctors will find it VERY difficult to deny tests if a patient wants one even though not indicated.
Testing everyone in a certain group where the infection is known to exist is valuable so that researchers know the penetrance of the virus, i.e., what % exposed will be infected, what % will develop serious disease, etc.
Since the symptoms in healthy folks are so similar to the common cold, the true number of folks infected may be much higher, which means the mortality rate may be much lower than it appears, e.g., 1000 are infected but only 100 get really sick and get tested and 1 dies, so death rate looks like 1% but in reality is 0.1%.
Meant this to be helpful not pedagogical, so forgive me if it comes across as such.
wbm
Well-Known Member
Yeah one of the research people from CDC said last night that it is probably closer to .07% world wide.
Let's say for the sake of argument that the Corona-19 stats are 3 or even 5 times higher than what is being reported world wide. It still would pale in comparison 2018-19 Flu epidemic statistics in the U.S. alone!
Let's say for the sake of argument that the Corona-19 stats are 3 or even 5 times higher than what is being reported world wide. It still would pale in comparison 2018-19 Flu epidemic statistics in the U.S. alone!
SilverbulletMAG
Well-Known Member
adam32
Well-Known Member
I'm ready.
Deputy819
Well-Known Member
Went to Walmart last night and couldn't believe it, not one gallon of milk left, not one can or pack of soup, all the canned vegetables were also gone. All the rice and beans and more, of course no toilet paper or water, just crazy.
People acting like its the apocalypse. Hofefully it doesn't get worse.
People acting like its the apocalypse. Hofefully it doesn't get worse.
cohunt
Well-Known Member
If you want to place an online grocery order for Walmart and have it delivered --- my walmarts next delivery date is 18 days from now.
Oh my word
Zip tie them to a fence and tell them y'all in jail someone will be by to fetch you directly
Deputy819
Well-Known Member
Friday morning we were instructed to handle as many calls as we could with our department issued cell-phone until this mess blows over. So, I won't be making near as many runs for the next several weeks. 
Deputy819
Well-Known Member
.....and it continues. One hour ago Governor Andy Beshear ordered ALL restaurants and bars in our state to immediately close down. Carry-out and delivery ONLY. We're in trouble folks....
Coronavirus news Ohio, Kentucky: restaurant and bar closings, day cares, schools, travel restrictions
Reeling from all the coronavirus news? This will catch you up.
www.cincinnati.com
I'm just trying to figure out how much beer to get for a two week shut down
Got enough powder and bullets but it's the beer that's got me stumped
Got enough powder and bullets but it's the beer that's got me stumped
Deputy819
Well-Known Member
I'm sure it will 'disappear' soon, too. Just like everything else mentioned in this thread has. This is NOT good. Good thing I/we like to hunt, fish, garden, etc, etc, etc....
What these folks going to do when they got a real emergency
