I like your example and completely agree with your logic. But it seems to me that some calibers and cartridges are more affected by temperature change than others. And, temperature studies can be tainted toward a certain manufacturer as Hodgdon comes out really sweet in the study listed above. I have been using Hodgdon powders for many years but I do not consider them superior to Alliant powders.
I have had great accuracy in my 30-06 and 338-06 rifles using Reloader 17 and both are larger caliber rifles. Nitrochemie, the manufacturer of Reloader 17 considers Reloader 17 temperature sensitivity to be in the .50 fps range. A temperature study of Reloader 17 by Rheinmetall a German munitions manufacturer using a 8 X 68 rifle with 70.4 grains of R17 with a temperature range of minus 22 degrees F to plus 122 degrees F showed a average increase in velocity of .32 fps per degree of temperature change.