Sorry about your hunt. For what it's worth, I tape my muzzle every time I go hunting. I shot competively for many years and have seen ,through the spotting scope, several rain drops being hit. The result of hitting a rain drop depends on where the bullet was deflected on its path to the target. I've seen DQ's at 200 yards when rain drops were hit, in those cases the bullets deflection was more than 8 inches. At 500 yards you would probably miss your elk. Carbon donuts that form in your chamber just ahead of the mouth of your brass is a bad situation dry or wet. If you let your brass grow and don't keep after the carbon donut you will eventually begin to create more pressure with the longer brass cartridges and accounts for more flyers than anything else other the loose nut behind the trigger. I've had to remove carbon rings in customers chambers, with a chamber reamer, many times through the years. I don't believe your problem was a result of moisture in the bore based on your results of accuracy testing after your hunt. The chamber donut must be addressed on a continuing basis. Trimming brass to your nominal size every time the brass is sized is critical. If using factory rounds, measure the loaded round brass length to make sure you won't contact the chamber donut.