MontanaRifleman,
I don't think it's realistic to hold Nosler to 1800 fps on the money. I believe Nosler has provided their best estimate of the velocity required to ensure expansion on big game animals. They don't say their bullets will never open up at 1799 fps, 1699 fps, or 1599 fps. There's a lot of different mixtures of bone, muscle, hide, blood, and guts in any animal. I believe where you hit them will play a significant role in an expanding bullets performance. Again, I believe Nosler's trying to give us their best guidance and recommendation, and they've picked a number that won't result in a bunch of dissatisfied customers. Which means you'll be pretty safe at 1800 fps. Go less than 1800 fps and get poor performance and Nosler will say they warned you. Just my 0.02 cents worth of thoughts on the matter.
And just to demonstrate that there are no guarantees with expanding bullet performance, I shot a Dall sheep at 13 yards with a .280 RCBS improved using a 150 grain Nosler Ballistic Tip straight through the middle of the ribs and lungs and that bullet never expanded with a muzzle velocity of ~2975 fps. Go figure. The animal trotted off 80-100 yds and bedded down and got sicker and sicker but didn't expire. After about 25 minutes, I'd seen enough. I kept thinking the animal had to expire because I saw the red blood dots in perfect position on both sides of the ribs for a double lung shot. I walked down to finish him off and when I got within about 10 yds he jumped up in an adrenaline rush and took off. My second shot was a quartering away shot into the back edge of the onside ribs. That BT expanded and flattened the ram like a piledriver. Instant lights out.