So what factors do you use to extrapolate node distance and predict nodes? Since you have experience and confidence in this methodology, could you provide is with a real world example, and explain? I am curious how all the variables that play into load development are are included or excluded from your method. If you can explain it, and it can be replicated, I'll be the first to eat humble pie and post my results. If you can't explain, or won't, you have no business trying to tell someone about real world results you cannot support. At least that's my take on it.
The best place to start is by entering good data in Quickload. That is where most of the variables are captured. It is also important to do a min-max workup to reconcile predicted velocities and max with real world data in your rifle.
When you generate a load table in QL, it also spits out barrel time data, which can then be compared to the chart I referenced earlier. The chart gives the OBT in milliseconds for a given barrel length. According to information in the paper I referenced, best accuracy typically is within + or - .020 ms of the OBT. I have found that this typically yields nodes that are about 60 fps wide.
There are limitations to this method. For example, QL cannot tell you which primer will work the best for your combination, nor can it tell you what your optimum seating depth will be. I typically start my load development by performing the Berger seating depth test using a starting load, which gives me a good place to start. Though seating depth typically has a significant effect on accuracy, it has only a very small effect on OBT. Using the right seating depth in your rifle will shrink your groups, but it doesn't measurably change the velocity range for a given node.
Another limitation of this method is that it cannot tell you if your rifle will shoot a given component combination well. It can only tell you what the velocity range will be for a given node. Just because you are in a node is no guarantee that the combination you are using will produce tiny groups.
Now for real world results. Here is the thread where I was introduced to the OBT concept and used that data to walk another shooter through the process. His best load was produced in the predicted velocity range:
http://www.longrangehunting.com/forums/f19/375-rum-guys-137112/index4.html
Here is a second thread where I repeated the same process, with the same results. This time, best accuracy appeared in the upper half of the predicted node. Note that the results were obtained without tuning seating depth:
http://www.longrangehunting.com/forums/f19/finally-time-test-375-rum-320-ce-140162/index2.html
I have also been going through my notes and running my data through QL to see where my accuracy loads fall relative to OBT predicted nodes. Out of six different accuracy loads, I have one that does not appear to fall in an OBT predicted node and one that I cannot evaluate because the powder (Superformance) is not supported in QL. The issue there is that I developed all of these loads before I owned a chronograph, so I still need to shoot them over a chrono to see what the actual velocities are before I can definitively confirm them. I am adding that to my project list.
It is also worth noting that all of my personal accuracy loads were developed using OCW. The OBT paper mentions a strong correlation between OCW and OBT. It looks to me like OBT data is confirming my OCW data. The advantage that I see with OBT is the ability to reach the same place as OCW with fewer rounds expended and/or fewer trips to the range. OBT also makes it possible to get a better idea of the overall performance potential offered by a certain combination before burning any powder.
In closing, I want to make it clear that my intentions in making this argument do not involve making anyone eat humble pie. Everything that I do relative to shooting/hand loading is something that I approach as a learning opportunity. When I learn something, I try to share it with interested people. That is my motivation for entering this debate. I did not do so to show anyone up. Rather, to show what is possible. I am just learning to use some of these tools myself. It is quite possible that I am following a chimera. If that is the case, I will be the one eating humble pie and I will gladly do so. In either case, others will benefit from the discussion, and that serves us all well.