Tex_Hunter
Well-Known Member
This is a REALLY important distinction, and where most Creedmoor supporters and haters get tripped up.Ran some simulations courtesy of MERC - Maximum Effective Range Calculator. I'm biased of course, but highly recommend you try it out for yourself!
Simulations used 1MOA rifle, 10 ± 3 mph crosswind shifting ± 30°, ± 5 yards range uncertainty, and muzzle velocity SD of 10 fps. I used velocities from MidwayUSA's product pages for the trajectory inputs. The target size for the hit probabilities is 9" in diameter.
Federal Premium 130 Terminal Ascent @ 2825 fps
View attachment 212267
Nosler Trophy Grade 129 Accubond Long Range @ 2850 fps
View attachment 212268
Hornady Precision Hunter 143 ELD-X @ 2700 fps
View attachment 212269
Hope that helps. As mentioned, to really see what variables affect each load, download a copy of MERC for yourself and play around with target sizes, uncertainties, and ranges.
On one hand there is plenty of data out there showing that with proper shot placement, premium hunting bullets such as the 143gr ELD-X will reliably expand and kill down to 1600fps or so. For my handloads at the places I usually hunt, that means the maximum lethal range based on bullet performance alone extends out past 1000yds, if we use the 1000 ftlbs energy threshold that brings it back to around 850-900 or so.
In the real world though, you cant hold everything else in a vacuum, so you have to account for things like wind and shooter error. The 80% hit probability noted above is honestly a little low (needs to be nearly 100% when we are talking about living animals), but its a good line in the sand where someone needs to really stop and consider whether its worth trying to set up a better shot with higher probability.
Me personally? I have trained and gotten myself to the point that I can reliably lay out my shooting mat, get on my rifle, and make consistent cold bore shots on a 10" gong that I have set up at 800yds on a piece of land I hunt regularly. When I say consistent in the context of hunting, I mean I can do this greater than 90% of the time in varying conditions. With that level of consistency, I know I can hit the animal in the vitals, and I know the bullet will do its job when it gets there.