Ya for the guys starting now it's not a pretty picture.
Utah you may as well forget about as a non res unless you are just lucky in the random.
Who knows what happens in wy but if you start this year I bet a general elk tag is 7+ years away.
Az you can get lucky but even the late rifle elk hunts are creeping like crazy.
Co you will never catch the top units unless you get lucky in the hybrid. Now the middle tier units are getting blown up because guys are realizing their decade + of points will never catch the top.
Idaho and New mex are straight lottery, no points but the application pool is growing and reducing odds.
I feel for my kids, they will more than likely never have the opportunity that even my generation has had unless this western big game hunting bubble pops. And I hope everyday that it does.